Folks will probably think I’ve been snacking on the crazy cake, but I’ve got a strong feeling that Texas goes blue this year. Here are some select quotes from delegates to this year’s Texas GOP convention:
- But, Etzel said, “I don’t think anybody is all that enthusiastic” about McCain’s candidacy. “McCain is not a very enthusiastic type of guy.”
- “The contrast between John McCain and Barack Obama is so stark,” [Bryant] said, a hint of worry in her voice. “Obama is a charismatic speaker, and John McCain isn’t.”
- Banville called McCain weak, saying, “I don’t see how he has a chance at all unless people vote only because they don’t like black people.”
- “I resent the fact that we were forced into him to represent us,” Martinez said, a reference to the GOP nomination contest all but ending before Texas voted. “I had nothing to do with his picking.”
The fact that there were 4-5 times more people at the state Democratic convention leads me to presume a similar ratio of participation in November. I’ve read many emails and blogs from delegates from all around the state who were shocked and surprised to find other Dems in their crimson Red counties — these folks are organizing and reaching an unprecedented number of folks in rural parts of the state.
It also appears that the conservative religious and evangelical voters bloc the GOP had been able to count upon since the glory days of Reagan has melted away in the ocean of Obamacans. It appears that economy and war issues will trump abortion politics this year, bringing over Catholics, evangelicals, black conservatives, and other issue conservatives who feel that the current administration can do no right.
Finally, looking at this electoral college map, it’s obvious that, although Texas didn’t go for Clinton in ‘92, that race was very much closer than the GOP would like. Clinton did not have anything like the machine that Obama has created, and didn’t spend any attention on Texas, and still nearly won Texas. Obama may not be focusing on Texas, but his 50-state strategy means that he’ll have an active center here in this state to coordinate the organization of long dormant county clubs. Add to this the monumental work the Clinton team did this year in Texas and I think the Democratic party has never had better grassroots organizations, nor has it activated so many communities before.
In sincerely believe that the Democrats, Obama, Clinton, Edwards, and all of their activist faithful across the nation have effectively redrawn the political map of the country, and that we’ll see the surprising results in November.
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